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Table 2 Association between PA variables and the risk of incident elevated waist circumference

From: Longitudinal associations between physical activity and five risk factors of metabolic syndrome in middle-aged adults in Germany

No. with incident elevated waist circumference (N = 234, 48.9%)

 

No. at risk (N = 479)

No. incident elevated waist circumference (% of No. at risk)

Model 1 adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)

p-value

Model 2 adjusted Hazard Ratio (95% CI)

p-value

Habitual PA level at baseline [min/week]

 Low (< 75)

25

14 (2.9)

ref

 

ref

 

 Medium (75–149)

118

58 (12.1)

0.77 (0.42–1.41)

0.397

0.78 (0.42–1.43)

0.417

 High (≥ 150)

336

162 (33.8)

0.73 (0.41–1.30)

0.284

0.72 (0.40–1.27)

0.253

Sports-related PA level at baseline [min/week]

 Low (< 75)

227

109 (22.8)

ref

 

ref

 

 Medium (75–149)

123

66 (13.8)

1.05 (0.77–1.44)

0.749

1.08 (0.79–1.49)

0.618

 High (≥ 150)

129

59 (12.3)

0.92 (0.67–1.26)

0.594

0.88 (0.64–1.21)

0.424

Sports-related intensity level at baseline [METh/week] {1}

 Not intensively active (< 8.3)

235

110 (23.0)

ref

 

ref

 

 Moderately intensively active (8.3–16.5)

115

59 (12.3)

1.10 (0.80–1.52)

0.552

1.07 (0.78–1.48)

0.669

 Highly intensively active (≥ 16.6)

128

65 (13.6)

1.09 (0.80–1.48)

0.593

1.06 (0.77–1.44)

0.725

Change in sports-related PA over time [min/week] {19}

 Stable inactive (< 150– < 150)

234

115 (24.0)

ref

 

ref

 

 Quits activity (≥ – < 150)

51

27 (5.6)

0.96 (0.63–1.47)

0.859

0.91 (0.59–1.39)

0.656

 Starts activity (< 150– ≥ 150)

111

58 (12.1)

0.75 (0.54–1.04)

0.084

0.78 (0.56–1.07)

0.123

 Stable active (≥ 150– ≥ 150)

64

26 (5.4)

0.69 (0.45–1.05)

0.084

0.66 (0.43–1.01)

0.057

Change in sports-related intensity level over time [METh/week] {4}

 Stable low (< 16.6– < 16.6)

250

126 (26.3)

ref

 

ref

 

 Decreasing (≥ 16.6– < 16.6)

47

29 (6.1)

1.32 (0.87–1.98)

0.188

1.37 (0.91–2.07)

0.130

 Increasing (< 16.6– ≥ 16.6)

98

42 (8.8)

0.61 (0.43–0.88)

0.007*

0.62 (0.45–0.92)

0.015

 Stable high (≥ 16.6– ≥ 16.6)

80

35 (7.3)

0.72 (0.49–1.05)

0.084

0.70 (0.48–1.02)

0.060

  1. CI confidence interval, METh metabolic equivalent hours, min minutes, N number of participants, No. Number, PA physical activity, ref reference group, SES socio-economic status, WC waist circumference. Model 1: adjusted for age, sex and SES; Model 2: adjusted for age, sex, SES, and comorbidities with regard to MetS risk factors at study entry. {} indicates number of N missing. Significant values (p < 0.05) are in [bold]; significant values after Bonferroni correction for multiple testing are indicated by [*]